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TCP Issue ArchivePrevious IssueNext IssueAbout TCP

Volume 3, Issue 4
April 18, 2001

Contents

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ONE Internet Search - The Next Generation
TWO On the Web: Online Time Killers
THREE Top Ten Signs Steve Jobs Just Doesn't Care Anymore
FOUR MRT News: Metrics Call for Papers / Workshop Updates
FIVE Calendar of Events
Please send any feedback about this newsletter and its content to gregg@roundtable.com

article-one:
Internet Search - The Next Generation

How do you picture the Internet in five years? Ten years? Twenty? While it's impossible to accurately predict what the Net will look like in the future, one thing is certain - the search engine as you know it today will be history. With increasing reliance on the Internet for collaboration, supply chain management and other B2B applications such as exchanges, this is good news for product developers.

Virtually everyone gets frustrated with Internet search engines. The most common complaint about them is poor signal-to-noise ratio. While much of this can be attributed to the average user's unfamiliarity with Boolean syntax and advanced filtering methods, it is also fair to say that the prioritization and ranking schemes used by most engines are equally at fault. Google, generally considered to provide the highest quality search results, uses an academic method of ranking citations, giving highest placement to those sites who are referred to the most by other sites. While this is better than most, what is still missing is a deeper level of qualification than generic numerical popularity.

Two alternative search methods, semantic engines and peer-to-peer (P2P) networks, currently represent what could be considered Internet search's "next generation."

Popularized by the recent Napster litigation, peer-to-peer Internet searching differs from today's search engines in that it requires a community of host computers to form a network on which searches are based, whereas traditional engines rely on submissions, human editors and robot "spiders" to search the Internet and compile listings.

How would P2P search work? One method, being pioneered by Project Pandango, would take a person's keyword search and examine it against the Web histories and bookmarks of an initial network of 100 referrers. From there, the application would search the Web histories of those 100 referrers' combined 10,000 referrers, and then a third cycle -- so that the query would canvass the Web pages visited and bookmarked by 1 million people.

Over time, it is hoped that enough people add their histories to the network, providing a mass of intelligence around which websites are popular among focused communities of like interests. For example, if you are a mechanical engineer in an aerospace company, you'd query the P2P network of people with the same profile, accessing the links deemed most popular by the entire network.

Critics of P2P note that it will take some effort to break user inertia, and that most will initially be reluctant to download and install the necessary software. But, as Napster demonstrates, it is certainly achievable, but requires critical mass before becoming effective.

The second method, semantic processing, promises more accurate search results based on context. The best example of this is Cobrain.com, whose methods are based on the Russian problem solving technique known as TRIZ/TIPS, which was originally used as a way to search patent databases for reusable engineering solutions. TRIZ software vendor, Invention Machine, ported TRIZ approaches to their Cobrain.com website, which claims the ability to search any databases of information with contextual intelligence. The current site is limited to searches on technical, medical or patent-based problem solving, but Cobrain asserts the technology works with any type of knowledge. One nice feature is that search results are accompanied by a pop-up window highlighting the location of the specific text within the site that matches your search terms, a feature that would be invaluable in current search sites. Two other companies, iPhrase and Verilytics, are also working on search tools that use advanced linguistic theories.

What impact might search evolution have on product development? In truth, the concepts behind P2P networks are not new, and have been employed for several years by some CAD and PDM systems as a file management tool. However, these previous applications may have been a little before their time. Renewed interest in P2P has surfaced in part because the Internet more easily allows the connection of distributed computers. Given time to develop, it is realistic to expect P2P networks to become more frequently applied within and between corporations for archive retrieval, cross-project knowledge transfer and reuse, supply chain collaboration, and much more. Decentralization of networks in general will greatly increase the amount of available content, creating an even higher need for accurate search capability.

In contrast, semantic searching is very immature, with Cobrain being one of the few useable sites employing these methods, but they promise much more accuracy and relevancy to information searches. Whereas P2P capitalizes on information gleaned from human behavior, semantic search engines such as Cobrain rely on artificial intelligence. XML makes similar promises, however, XML tagging is still subject to the oddities of human language and do not offer semantic or contextual analysis.

Bottom line, current Internet search engines are adequate, but only scratch the surface in terms of how useful they could become. As the Internet continues to grow in both number of users and content, it's true growth and usefulness will be determined by the limitations of these and other navigation tools.

Related Links:

NOTE: This article was produced in conjunction with a recent survey conducted by Management Roundtable and New Product Dynamics on the subject of "How product developers use the Internet". Two articles are available discussing the results of this survey:

We share reader reactions to TCP articles on our website.
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article-two:
Online Time Killers for Product Developers

The following two websites are presented by Soda, which I can only describe as a product development "creativity" firm located in the UK. While their main business is helping companies create unique concepts and implementation strategies, they like to play a lot too, and have created the following two sites to help you play with them. Note: make sure your web browser likes Java before surfing these pages.

Link #1: http://www.sodaplay.com

This one is for the engineers in the audience, or those who just like to tinker. On this page you'll find something called the "sodaconstructor", which is basically a java-based wireframe editor with a gravity environment. Players can construct simple or complicated creatures by combining lines and points to form masses that are given motion by "springs" and "muscles" (visit the site to see what I mean). By just putting together a few simple bits, limitless creations are possible. Visit the "sodazoo" to see what some visitors have constructed, including a throbbing heart, a rolling snake, and even a helicopter.

Link #2: http://www.soda.co.uk/soda/loyaltoy

This page features a "customer relationship management game". If you've ever played an online Java or Flash game, this one will feel familiar. Here's how the game works: You are a CRM person at a travel agency. Floating around the screen are little guys that look similar to the old Pacman ghosts; these represent your customers. At the bottom of the screen, little icons scroll by that say "bookings" or "hotel reservations"; these are your products. When you click on a customer, he will tell you what kind of product he needs, at which point you just drag and drop the correct product icon on top of the customer. If you've done well, customers will smile loyally and help you convert new customers. Also lurking around are your competitors, who will try to lure your customers away. The game starts off a little slow, but eventually becomes a furiously paced exercise as you try to satisfy a screen full of roaming customers. This one is not as cool as sodaplay, but worth a few smirks.

Know a website we should review? Send the url to gregg@roundtable.com

MRT Advocate Program

article-three:
Top Ten Signs Steve Jobs Just Doesn't Care Anymore
...from the MRT satellite office in Cupertino, CA

10. When delivering Macworld keynote, only uses the word "cool" 38 times

9.

This year's most exciting product launch: The iDipswitch

8.

Starts answering phone with: "Dell customer service"
7. Renames operating system "OSXXX" to increase visibility in search engines
6. Tells engineers to design floppy drives back in "just to mess with them."
5. Next iMac color series: 1970s Linoleum
4. Insists all advertising use new tag line: "Hope you don't like software..."
3. Cancels restraining order to keep Chinese away from G4 Powermacs
2. Puts "interim" back on title, then changes "CEO" to "schminterum"

...and the No. 1 sign Steve Jobs just doesn't care anymore:

1. Sells all his Apple stock to Bill Gates in exchange for a signed copy of the original "Microsoft Bob" source code

Send me your Top Ten List suggestions - gregg@roundtable.com

TCP Top Ten List Archive


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article-four:
MRT News

METRICS - CALL FOR PAPERS
MRT is seeking case study submissions for our sixth annual conference on product development metrics...details

PUBLIC WORKSHOP UPDATES:

Implementing the TOC Multi-Project Method - This highly acclaimed, interactive workshop with TOC expert Tony Rizzo has been scheduled for June 5-6 in Santa Clara. An excellent opportunity for those in the Silicon Valley area. http://www.roundtable.com/Event_Center/TOCMPM/TOCMPM.html

Download Market Segmentation Workshop Materials - You can now download a free preview copy of the workshop materials (Powerpoint format) from our workshop, "Best Practices for Market Segmentation"

— * —

Upcoming MRT Events

   Improving Cross-Functional Performance in Pharmaceutical Development  DAMA2  6th Annual Metrics Conference - Call for Papers

Best Practices for Market Segmentation   Implementing the TOC Multi-Project Method

— * —

A D M I N I S T R I V I A

The Critical Path is a free monthly e-mail newsletter written by:

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Management Roundtable, Inc.
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